The Hariri episode appears to have convinced Washington and Riyadh that their interests are better served by stability in Lebanon than instability, even though that approach requires some cooperation with Hezbollah, the dominant political faction. A Saudi official told me that the kingdom plans to work with the United States to support Lebanese institutions, such as the army, that can gradually reduce the power of Hezbollah and its patron, Iran. MBS seems to have recognized that combating Hezbollah is a long game, not a short one.
Hariri’s resignation and seeming house arrest made him a hero in Lebanon and a symbol of the country’s yearning for sovereignty. This may give him some new leverage when he returns to Beirut. Lebanese sources told me Thursday that Hariri’s supporters may urge Hezbollah to withdraw its fighters from Yemen as a gesture of solidarity. Hariri will also campaign anew for international support for Lebanon’s economy and military.
David Ignatius (ehemals einer der militantesten Sprecher Killary’s) in der WaPo. Seine Nachricht hat allerdings wenig bis nichts mit dem Libanon zu tun:
MBS’s purge looked to many outsiders like a high-risk political move. But a senior prince cautioned me the country isn’t as fragile as it may look. One of MBS’s key backers put it this way: “Corruption can’t keep the country stable. Having a corruption-free country will keep us stable.”
That’s a worthy ambition, but as MBS detonates his bombs, he must avoid blowing himself up.
Klartext: ‚MBS Säuberungen werden unsere saudischen Verbündeten nicht schwer beschädigen oder gar aus dem Spiel nehmen“. (Siehe z.B. die Verhaftung von Bandar „bin Bush“)
Vielleicht wird er getäuscht. Al Manar meldete gestern unter Berufung auf zahlreiche Twitter-Zeugnisse, es habe eine zweite, möglicherweise noch umfänglichere Welle von Verhaftungen und Untersuchungsverfahren begonnen.